Showing posts with label Politics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Politics. Show all posts

Friday, April 27, 2012

Can BJP replace Congress?


It is no secret anymore. People of India are very frustrated by the UPA (United Progressive Alliance), and especially, the Congress party. By all accounts, the present central government of India is perceived to the most corrupt government of all time. In addition, the country desperately needs urgent proactive measures in almost all sectors, whether it is human resource development, public health-care, agriculture, infrastructure development, defense & internal security, or economy in-general. The economic growth projections are falling; and it is said that we’d be lucky to touch 6.5% -7% by end of 2012; whereas the planning commission desires growth-rate of 10% sustained throughout 2012-2017 for the 12th plan (more info: http://planningcommission.gov.in/plans/planrel/12appdrft/appraoch_12plan.pdf). How the heck are you going to do that and provide funding for all ambitious projects? Making the things worse, the Congress-led government is simply dysfunctional... The prime minister, Dr. Manmohan Singh, and the UPA chair-person, Ms. Sonia Gandhi, who are directly accountable for the mess, are hiding away from the media for years now [in fact, I highly doubt if the main-stream media would even take up issues that upset them, something which they have never done so far]. And the highly irritating Congress spokesmen (and women) who appear almost every day on talk shows (rather verbal WWE) have absolutely no listening skills, and foolishly keep pointing fingers elsewhere saying –“Ok… we (Congress-ies) all are dogs; but what about others being donkeys and calling themselves lions???”   
   
Amidst this grim scenario of the present Government of India, the thing that disheartens me more is how BJP (Bharatiya Janata Party) is acting. In fact it does not act, it only reacts. The only other pragmatic option that any Indian has for replacing Congress at center is the BJP. But the party does not have its basics right. It simply lacks a strong leader at center. Its standard response is –“We all are lions; and after hunting those dogs (in elections) we shall decide the king”. 


My response to them: 
Arre bhai, haven’t you heard that story? 
A group of lions led by none 
gets defeated by the group of dogs led by one. 


The leadership matters. The reason why you lost last election is mainly because of your poor prime ministerial candidate choice, Mr. Advani. With all due respect, that person simply does not have the charisma of Atal Bihari Vajpayee. Some people are suggesting Narendra Modi’s name. Frankly, if India has a system of primary elections (within party) for BJP’s prime ministerial candidacy like the US has for president-ship, quite undoubtedly, Modi would win it (as pointed out by Swapan Dasgupta). However, keeping in mind India’s diversity, international relations, and how Modi is perceived nationwide, that maybe an extremely fatal step. The Congress’ campaign will be completely negative and the entire liberal-class will join-in naming him “Hitler” & “Merchant of death”; and your total energy will be lost into defending him rather than targeting Congress for its mis-governance and massive corruptions. Reserve him for the future though, as public perceptions may change over time. For the present, how about someone like Sushma Swaraj, or Arun Jaitley? Ms. Swaraj definitely has a public appeal; and her assertiveness will suit to your hard-liner supporters as well. Also, India hasn’t had a female prime minister for a few decades now. On the other hand, Mr. Jaitley is well known for his intellectual sharpness. Though he has not fought any Lok Sabha election, but what’s wrong with a prime minister from Rajya Sabha? If any of these two take a complete charge of the party, and if entire BJP carry out coherent attack on the government, we may very well see early elections, may be within an year. 


Another big fault-line in BJP is the mismatch between ideology and actions. Ideologically, it claims to be a nationalistic, progressive, and pro-market (and minimum government interference) party. However, it behaves as an opportunistic one. A few examples:
When Vajpayee was in power, the relations with the US significantly improved despite the nuclear tests. It would have been his government’s top priority to convince the Americans that India is ready for civil nuclear deal. However, when BJP set in opposition, it vehemently opposed the deal.
Fact that a party which talks about including private players and opening up markets can oppose opening up of retail sector is simply not digestible.
Again in Vajpayee era, Indo-Pak relations improved dramatically despite the Kargil war and attacks on parliament. But, now BJP completely opposes even to have dialogs with Pakistan. Why this mood-swing?   


Despite innumerous loopholes the government is surviving only because the opposition is not addressing its inner fault-lines. At state level, BJP led NDA (National Democratic Alliance) governments are doing a much better job whether it is in Gujarat, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh or Karnataka (more info: http://www.thesundayindian.com/en/story/NDA-states-better-than-Cong-led-states/254/29560/) as compared to congress-led states. However, if BJP wants to secure its position at national level, it has to fix its house in order first. It seems that BJP has realized that inclusive developmental politics is the key. No nonsense issues like Temple & Mosque anymore, please... Let’s focus on Human Development Index and Knowledge Development Index. If you still want to argue, let’s educate all, improve health of all, and ameliorate everyone’s life-style, first, and then we can continue arguments like the developed nations do.  

Friday, December 30, 2011

Indian Politics from Ideological framework - 1: Understanding the present dysfunction

This article has also been published in Fair Observerhttp://www.fairobserver.com/article/indian-politics-understanding-present-dysfunction
Image Courtesy: Vishal Bhatt: www.facebook.com/wizard.vishal  
The present political setup in India is dysfunctional. In order to understand this, it is very important to understand how we have arrived at the present. Here’s the explanation in brief:

In the pre-independence era (before 1947), Indian National Congress was the biggest nationwide political party [see article- The Brief History of Congress Party]. It was thriving on propagating optimistic progressive future vision for all Indians, irrespective of their caste, religion, class, language and any possible divides. Indisputably, Congress was highly inclusive and progressive party in those times.
            Apart from this centrist perspective of Congress, there were rival political ideologies of mainly, Muslim League, Hindu Mahasabha and Communist Party, having support in some sections of society. Muslim League and Hindu Mahasabha were in a way mirror organizations with respect to religious politics. Muslim League’s efforts were aimed at securing socio-economic rights of Indian Muslims and their politics was based on spreading anti-Hindu propaganda and fear among Muslims – “Support us; else you will be slaves of Hindu Banias and Brahmins for the rest of your lives”. Hindu Mahasabha’s narrative was rightwing, nationalistic and to oppose both divisive Muslim League and inclusive Congress, which attempted to have dialogs with Muslim separatists [Mahasabha deemed such dialog as appeasement]. Whereas, the communists were striving for a socialist political setup and were idealizing Soviet Model. It is noteworthy to mention that all of these parties opposed the widely-popular civil disobedience campaigns led by the Congress Party to achieve Indian independence from British rule. Hatred towards Congress was such great as these parties did not bother forming indirect alliance with the British as these parties not only refrained from participation but also obstructed Congress during the historic Quit India movement of 1942. Despite their tiny stature, these parties helped Congress with establishing a political equilibrium at a centrist perspective, which eventually got ruptured due to partition of India.
            Many historians, political scientists and sociologists have talked a lot about innumerable negative consequences of India’s partition. But, hardly anyone has mentioned its effect on the Congress party. The partition was based on absurd religious divide – naming Muslim majority areas as Pakistan and Hindu majority areas as India. Almost entire Muslim League shifted to Pakistan, which resulted in an Islamic country. And because of nationwide stronghold of Congress, which was centrist, India attained a pluralist democratic structure. Nonetheless, bloody partition had raised rightwing pressure on the political equilibrium. Also, the absence of any significant non-Congress Muslim voice in political sphere had created vacuum for Minority politics. These factors tilted Nehru’s Congress towards left to balance the rising rightist momentum and to protect the rights of the minorities. This point is well supported by an excerpt of a speech in the Loksabha on 21st December 1955, by Nehru, the first Prime Minister of India1,

“....if I may venture to lay down a rule, it is primary responsibility of the majority to satisfy the minority in every matter. The majority, by virtue of it's being a majority, has the strength to have its way: it requires no protection. It is a most undesirable custom to give statutory protection to minorities. It is sometimes for example, to backward classes, but it is not good in the long run. It is the duty and responsibility of the majority community, whether in the matter of language or religion, to pay particular attention to what the minority wants and to win it over. The majority is strong enough to crush the minority, which might not be protected. Therefore, whenever such a question arises, I am always in favour of the minority.”

            In this post independence period (in 50’s & 60’s), though India led the ‘non-aligned movement’ due to its enormous moral-power in the world, it was going through a gradual leftist swing silently. This leftist shift of Congress further corroborated as India deepened ties with the (former) Soviet Union. The socialist economic policies were adopted and the state controlled almost all key areas of the country's economy, either centrally or on a state-wise basis. The rigorous state laws and License rules put a great degree of restrain on the free execution of industrial policies. Even the farmers, along with the business personnel, found themselves to be at the receiving end of rigorous state control policies and high taxation2. Poverty and unemployment were widespread throughout Nehru's governance. When Nehru’s daughter, Indira Gandhi (or Ghandhy), came to power in 70’s and 80’s, India became more socialists with nationalization of banks and oil and coal industries. The economic picture got further grim. Indira’s commitment to socialism and minority politics is reflected by the fact that earlier India was declared as a sovereign, democratic republic, but in 1977 through constitutional amendments, two terms were added to the preamble of the Indian constitution– ‘secularist and socialist’3. In addition, government policies and programmes increasingly targeted the axis of religion and caste and special privileges were provided to religious minorities and socially backward communities. When incentives are targeted at groups of people based on castes and religion, voters belonging to these groups find incentives to vote as one unit. This political strategy is popularly called as “Vote-Bank Politics”. It is needless to mention that if a strategy works once, it is bound to be repeated again. Congress’ formula was then adopted by various regional parties, each trying to please their respective vote-bank. This regressive election winning strategy, which ignores the big picture of comprehensive long term growth and security, has continued till date by most parties and in most elections.

            However, such political strategy created a vacuum for the right-wing politics. Indian government never really had enough resources to provide services and incentives to entire population. For most part, it ended up favouring religious minorities and socially backward communities. Given the extreme poverty at every level from individual to state in country, policies like – state negligence for Kumbh Mela and subsidies for Hajj travel, negligence of high-caste poor while quotas in jobs and college admissions for religious minorities and backward communities irrespective of their economic conditions- increasingly made the higher caste Hindus wonder about their political representation. Amidst this increasing feeling of political isolation among the people of majority, the Ram temple issue acted as catalyst and rightwing politics gained nationwide momentum in late 80’s and 90’s. One can now easily understand how come Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which had won only 2 seats in 1984 Loksabha election, emerged as the biggest party with 187 seats in 1996 election, within the span of only twelve years. And it formed government in 1998 and became the first non-Congress party to complete its full term. It resumed economic reforms, which had begun in 1991 but had stalled after 1996, and established “economic feel good factor”. However, it could not secure win in the following election in 2004. BJP’s loss can be explained in brief as following:
·    It won election from rightist position, but adopted centrist position on most of the issues including Ram temple, Kashmir and relations with Pakistan. This clearly disappointed its right-wing supporters. Publicly expressed differences between BJP and RSS (Rastriya Swayamsevak Sangh) and VHP (Vishwa Hindu Parishad) support this point.
·      Middle class neutral urban masses, who supported BJP with hope of bringing in some change in the political culture, found themselves being betrayed by BJP’s silence and inaction after 2002 Gujarat riots, in which Muslims formed a high proportion of those killed. In addition, Muslims are politically much stronger than many other communities in India and with help of liberal Hindus they have been able to generate a strong nationwide campaign against a few BJP personnel for perceived non-action. [It is noteworthy to mention that more tragic riots have occurred in India in the past. For e.g., anti-Sikh riots in 1984 directly linked to Congress party, ethnic cleansing of Kashmiri Pundits (Hindus) in 1990 by fundamental Islamists, anti-Hindu & anti-Buddhist violence in North-East by Christian militant organization National Liberation Front of Tripura (NLFT) and so on, but they failed to generate such nation-wide relentless agitation due to lack of political muscles.] 

Congress’ leftward shift has left limited room for the leftist parties to gain nationwide significance. However, there has been a newly realized room for Dalit politics in recent years. Since ancient time, Dalits have been at the bottom of the social hierarchy in the Indian society. Congress has always projected itself as a ‘Dalit-friendly’ party, and it has been successful in attracting Dalit candidates and voters to some degree. But, in this decade, Bahujan Samajwadi Party’s (BSP) emergence, as a single majority party in the most populous hence most politically influential state of Uttar Pradesh, has hinted new political permutations. BSP is ideologically a party for Dalits, but it is projecting openness for higher castes and religious minorities in order to realize political expansion. Parties like BSP along with support of leftist parties have potential of creating a third front to have national significance and to challenge Congress led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) and BJP led National Democratic Alliance (NDA).  

            Today’s India has supposedly these three choices – UPA, NDA or the third front. The UPA won last two elections in 2004 and 2009, respectively. Its win in 2004 can be attributed to NDA’s failure as explained earlier. In 2009, it won mainly because...
·       increase in economic prosperity, awareness in masses about India’s economic boom, and international praise of India’s growth story created positive momentum despite global financial crises
·    perception of Dr. Manmohan Singh, the prime ministerial candidate, as an honest man in the masses and introduction of historic Right to Information Act helped with establishing image of transparent governance
·       programs like National Rural Employment Guarantee Act helped market pro-poor image of Congress
·       BJP’s prime ministerial candidate, Lal Krishna Advani, lacked popular appeal

Present Scenario
     Dr. Singh, who served as finance minister in Narasimha Rao’s government in 1991 and who is an eminent economist, is the person given credit for India’s economic liberalization. During the earlier term, 2004-2009, Congress had restricted degree of freedom to implement financial reforms as it needed support of the left-parties to stay in power. But, this time it had enough seats and faced no such limitations. Naturally, people were having high expectations for economic reforms. However, almost all those expectations have fallen flat so far with no significant reforms at all. The government is crippled with one scam after another coming out in public. By all accounts, it is perceived to be one of the most corrupt governments of Indian history. The Congress is completely clueless while dealing with corruption and repeatedly its claims of clean governance have proved wrong. Whenever it is attacked, it counter attacks BJP and other parties and cites alleged charges on their personnel, but fails to respond to charges against itself. In addition, it goes back to the minority politics card, projecting itself as the only inclusive nationwide party, while attacking its major rival BJP of communal polarization. It is repeatedly failing to understand that by doing so, it is only getting further away from the majority, corroborating the widespread perception about itself as ‘minority appeasing party’. Moreover, Congress has still not succeeded in coming out of the image of ‘party of political dynasty’. It simply is unable to function independently, without support of Nehru-Gandhi family. How can a party establish meritocracy in country, if it chooses ministerial candidates who are either from a particular family or loyalist to that family?

               One the other hand, BJP is a highly confused party. It calls itself a rightist party but takes rightist, centrist or even leftist positions on different issues. For e.g., it opposed to nuclear deal with the US and opening up of the retail sector, issues that a rightist party would initiate. It also changes its stance on the same issue depending on whether it is in power or in opposition. For e.g., on Kashmir issue, Vajpayee, former Prime Minister when BJP formed government, advocated dialog with all stakeholders including Pakistan. But, since BJP has shifted to opposition it has taken a hard-line approach and is completely against any kinds of dialog with Pakistan. More importantly, it is in dilemma about what ‘Hindutva’ is and finds it difficult to discuss issues like demolition of Babri Masjid and rightwing radicalism. It seems that it has realized that in order to have majority, it cannot afford to make minorities feel insecure. But, by trying not to take stand against minorities; it disappoints its right-wing fundamentalist supporters. Thus, BJP is walking on a more thin ice. Though BJP led NDA’s governments in various states are doing much better than Congress governed states, it desperately needs a strong leader in Delhi to help re-establish connection with the masses like Vajpayee had.
            The Third-Front is too fragile at present and it is not yet empowered enough to challenge either UPA or NDA. In addition, the poor performance of the leftist parties in the recent elections has decreased their national significance. Some regional parties having bad experiences of both Congress and BJP usually join this front. And in the past, such coalitions have formed governments but remained unstable, as parties would withdraw support if their demands are not met.  
            Given these three options – 1) corrupt and minority subservient UPA 2) confused and faceless NDA and 3) all of the above with higher instability the Third Front; and all three focusing on respective vote banks rather than on all of Indians; I strongly believe the present political setup in India is dysfunctional.       

Then what is the way out? See article my next article: Solutions through Value-based Centrist Pragmatism


I welcome your comments....

Reference:
1Kar, S. B. (2011). Nehru and communalism. Orissa Review. Retrieved from: http://orissa.gov.in/e-magazine/Orissareview/2011/Jan/engpdf/55-56.pdf
2Economic Policies of Jawaharlal Nehru. Retrieved from: http://www.mapsofindia.com/personalities/nehru/economic-policies.html
3Forty-Second Amendment to the Constitution. Ministry of Law and Justice of India. 28 August 1976. Retrieved from (25/12/2011):  http://indiacode.nic.in/coiweb/amend/amend42.htm.

Saturday, April 30, 2011

Understanding Hungry Politicians


I don’t get surprised by Political Corruption. Here’s the explanation:
One fine day, a fox (citizen of Jungle) and a lion (the king of the jungle) visited Ahmedabad. After taking ride of Ahmedabad- Darshan (site-seeing) Bus for the whole day, they went to Vishala, the famous Gujarati restaurant, for dinner.
The waiter asked the fox – “Two full Gujarati dishes for you two, right sir?”
“No, only one is fine” – replied the fox.
The waiter asked surprisingly - “Why? The lion is not hungry?”
“If he would have been so, I would have been his meal right then” - responded the fox with a gentle smile. And he added – “I have made sure, I remain with the king, who is well-fed”.
Moral of the story: Always have people, who are satiated, in power structure, else they’ll eat you out.
In the pre-independence era, people who were entering into the politics perceived it as a way of serving the nation and usually were successful in their respective careers (Tilak, Gokhale, Gandhi, Nehru, Patel, Jinnah and almost all of them were fairly to significantly successful in their respective professions). Making money out of such service was just out of question for them. They entered into politics to give and not to take. In short, on personal level, they were satiated.
However, as the country became free and when our politicians gained power (and charge of lots of money), politics became a profession (rather a business). 

Today the system works more or less like this:
· Get in the circle of a political party of interest, and be very nice to the influential voices there
· Get funds from family, friends and relatives (society in-general). You also should have great potential of attracting funds from the businesses. Needless to say, the amount for contesting an election reaches crores. If you can make your party-heads believe that you are worth initial investment and will generate great returns for the party, you are likely to win a party-ticket to fight election.
· If you win election,
o You are expected to enrich party treasury
o All of your friends and relatives, who have invested in your political career must be benefitted (economically, at least)
o Satisfy demands of all business houses, who provide capital for your election campaign
o Make sure all grass-root workers of your party have improved life styles
Thus, before even resuming service to the people, the politicians have a huge list of hungry stake-holders today. The system is set up such that the people in power have to feed all major election-investors to remain in power, else they won’t reinvest in the future.
Politicians very well know that kick-backs, non-merit favour, and manipulation of lawful procedures are various forms of corruption, which is unlawful. But, this is the system that our society has cohesively created. We may hate our politicians from the bottom of our hearts, but they are there because they deserved to be there. Is there any alternative to this system? How can one become an influential political leader without going through the above inconvenient steps? How can we have well-fed politicians, who don't eat up public funds? How can we have givers?
You and I must come up with the answers of above questions and act for systematic improvements with persistence. Let’s not forget, we all have created the present system and we only can ameliorate it. 

My suggestions –
· we need to push for election reformations like: state funded election-campaign and complete transparency of accounts and of candidate selection procedures of political parties
· And, of course, we need more aware citizens
· last but not least, let’s elect satiated candidates, who are doing fine at personal level.


I welcome your comments....